Current Affairs Politics

Scottish Voters Split On Independence Question

Scotland's First Minister and SNP leader Alex Salmond addresses independence rally, Edinburgh, Scotland, 2012 (Photo: Wings Over Scotland)
Scotland’s First Minister and SNP leader Alex Salmond addresses independence rally, Edinburgh, Scotland, 2012 (Photo: Wings Over Scotland)

The Panelbase voter questionnaire commissioned by Wings Over Scotland has thrown a spanner in the works of the usual media polls on the question of Scottish independence showing that the Scots are almost evenly divided in their opinions with 36% favouring a No vote, 34% a Yes vote and 30% undecided.

36% of Scots voters are currently planning to vote No in the referendum, with 34% planning to vote Yes and 30% undecided.
(14% plan to rebel against the position of the party they support.)

67% of Scots do NOT believe the Scottish Parliament will be granted any additional new powers if there is a No vote in the referendum.
(And over a quarter of those people believe Holyrood’s powers will be REDUCED.)

If Scotland was currently an independent country, only 18% of Scots would vote to join the Union.
(With 55% against and 28% undecided.)

Only 6% of Scots think the Scottish media is doing an adequate job of giving them the facts about independence.
(Almost six times as many think the media just prints what it’s told.)

Only 13% of Scots think the Scottish media is unbiased.
(Over three times as many think it’s biased AGAINST independence as FOR it.)

20% of Scots might switch parties after a Yes vote. Only 5% might switch after a No vote.
(22% are unsure, leaving only 53% definitely committed to their current party.)”

A fascinating counter to the British Unionist newspaper headlines reporting the predictions of doom and gloom for the Scottish Nationalist movement made by the US-based polling analyst Nate Silver.

12 comments on “Scottish Voters Split On Independence Question

  1. an lorcánach

    all very well sionnach but unfortunately meaningless: any referendum’s victorious rendition of “Brosnachadh Bhruis” will be drowned out by “Ode an die Freude” — as alex salmond used to give the irish state as a template for Alban (pre-2008), all anyone need do is read the pamphlets for/against union between britain and ireland (1798-1800), or the dublin print editions on repeal of the subsequent union (1830s-), or the editions (1870s-) for/against home rule — scary and prescient!


    • Maybe so, though Napoleon’s dream is looking distinctly more unstable these days, despite the very public chastising of the Irish, Greeks, etc. In fact the emergent nationalism of the Catalans, etc. will not sit so easily (or docilely) under the diktats of the Brussels/Strasbourg Eurocracy. A fractured Continent of many nation-states may be more beneficial to long term democratic accountability than one made up of a handful of supranational states.

      Ireland’s Neo-Ascendency may still be enamoured of the EU but increasing numbers of Irish people are less so. Long may that democratic impulse continue and grow.


      • an lorcánach

        ultimately it’s about jobs (unlike 2009’s Lisbon vote!)

        ‘Under this government – and, it must be said, New Labour did its bit to help the trend – Britain is being turned into a low-wage economy with a casualised, compliant workforce (or “flexible workforce”, to use the too commonly accepted euphemism), alongside levels of wealth and income inequality unseen since the Edwardian era. Those accustomed to low-wage, low-employment economies, whether they are Poles, Romanians, Somalis or Bangladeshis, will inevitably be at a competitive advantage against Britons who look for higher standards… The truth is that ordinary working people, whether highly educated or not, take too small a share of the cake while management, shareholders and financiers take too much. That is simply because the latter control the money, and there aren’t enough restraints – political, legal, social or cultural, to stop them keeping most of it for themselves. It isn’t just that trade unions have become weaker thanks largely to the anti-union laws of the 1980s, alongside privatisation of publicly owned industries and outsourcing of state services. It is also that management began to act according to new cultural norms. “Management,” the late JK Galbraith wrote in 1967, “does not go out ruthlessly to reward itself – a sound management is one expected to exercise restraint.” He added: “With the power of decision goes opportunity for making money … Were everyone to seek to do so … the corporation would be a chaos of competitive avarice.” Now competitive avarice rules.’

        Guardian, Monday 12 August 2013


        ‘What is flexicurity? Flexicurity is an integrated strategy for enhancing, at the same time, flexibility and security in the labour market. It attempts to reconcile employers’ need for a flexible workforce with workers’ need for security – confidence that they will not face long periods of unemployment.’

        European Commission/Employment, Social Affairs & Inclusion
        [Irish language version is unavailable!]


        • flexicurity“!!!!!

          Jesus, I’ve heard it all now. No wonder Lucinda Creighton loves her Eurospeak. Meaningless noise.


          • an lorcánach

            As Mary McAleese said when giving non-answer at time of announcing that she’d run again as ‘President’, “Cinnte, cinnte!” -:) — actually forgot to forward article I saw last night on Welsh language – ta, @


    • an lorcánach

      Sorry Sionnach – wifi keeps shorting out! :*)


      • The NSA or GCHQ? 😉

        I got that. I should have posted something on it but time did not permit. Quite depressing news on one hand though on the other at least it is being highlighted and addressed. That said some have challenged the fall in the numbers of Welsh-speakers by looking to the rise in the Welsh population as a whole, so it is a percentage game. I’ve not had a chance to examine it in detail and the arguments being made by both sides. I do know that generally there is greater knowledge of (and ability with) Welsh amongst the under-25s.


  2. an lorcánach

    low-esteem! that’s what it boils down to, sionnach — how many times do we hear in galway/kerry etc radio vox pop’s – a) “I don’t want to be rude when asked a question in English”… and b) “I’ve worked 30 years in tourism and never once heard anyone speak Irish” – national inferiority complex (or supplicancy) @


  3. the jocks have no spine whatsoever. They’ll always be tailing mummy england’s coattails despite all the rhetoric and crap that spews from both sides. Don’t forget it were the place that most of the planters originated.


    • Not sure I’d agree. Remember that 90 years ago those who participated in the Easter Rising of 1916 were convinced that a significant minority of the Irish people had become accustomed to British colonial rule and no longer thought of themselves as Irish alone but Irish and British or simply British. And that did not apply to north-eastern or Dublin Unionists alone.

      I wonder if Ireland as a whole was still under British colonial rule how many Irish people would resist or agitate/desire independence? I suspect by now that it would be a minority and one reviled and isolated by the collaborative Irish political, business and media establishments.


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