Regional data from the latest poll by Lord Ashcroft, the former Conservative Party deputy chairperson turned polling guru in Britain, has revealed a narrow majority in favour of reunification in the north of Ireland when undecided voters and non-voters are excluded. According to the research conducted among 1,542 adults in the Six Counties interviewed online between the 30th of August and the 2nd of September, when asked the question “If there was a border poll tomorrow, how would you vote?”, the answer was:
For Northern Ireland to leave the UK and join the Republic of Ireland?
Removing Don’t Knows and Non-Voters that works out as,
These figures are well within the margin of error and shouldn’t be taken as proof of a definitive majority in the Six Counties in favour of ending partition. But the breakdown of numbers in the age groups within the survey paint a far starker picture for the pro-union camp with clear and unambiguous majorities for national reintegration in the under-44 age categories (a massive 60% in the case of 18-24 year olds). While so much of the political future is dependant on the outcome of Brexit, there is little doubt that a generational pro-unity consensus is beginning to emerge among the electorate in the north-east of the country.