Brexit, potentially bad for the Twenty-Six and Six Counties in the short term, potentially good for the Thirty-Two Counties in the long term? From the Irish Times:
“Border controls between the island of Ireland and Britain are inevitable if there is a Brexit, according to official sources on both sides of the Irish Sea.
A strict new regime for travel between the two islands is already under consideration if the UK votes next month to leave the European Union.
The impossibility of sealing the 500km border between Northern Ireland and the Republic has put the focus on new travel arrangements.
Such a move would mean British citizens travelling from Northern Ireland would be subject to customs and border controls at air and ferry ports in Britain.
The House of Commons Northern Ireland committee has warned that strengthened identity checks on travellers between the two islands may be a more feasible option than the reintroduction of controls along the land border between North and South.
The Commons committee warned in a report entitled Northern Ireland and the EU Referendum that imposing controls along the land Border, which is crossed by up to 30,000 commuters a day, would cause considerable disruption.”
The “Remain” camp has referendum victory in it sights, if the polls are to be believed. However, if the “Leave” lobby succeeds how will farmers, business people and students from the broad unionist community react to a sudden withdrawal of European Union grants, free market access and EU citizenship? How will the broad nationalist community, north and south, react to the possibility of the British Occupation Forces reimposing the “invisible border” to pacify the demagogues of unionism outraged by the flexible nature of their UK “citizenship”? The Anglo-Irish Agreement 1985. The Irish-British Agreement 1998. The Irish-British Post-Brexit Agreement 2016? The Irish Reunification Vote 2018?
Sorry to say it, but for entirely domestic and selfish Irish reasons, I for one am hoping that the polls in Britain have got it wrong (again!).