Full of sound and fury, signifying nothing. Given the events of the last fortnight, that Shakespearean quip is as good a summation of the general election in the United Kingdom as any other. There is lots of noise, lots of controversy, but will the Brexit-focused contest bring substantial change to the political landscape of the UK? The polls are indicating that the current Conservative Party government under Boris Johnson will probably be re-elected, though this time with a workable if not spectacular majority in the House of Commons. Enough at least to allow him to cast aside any need for a backdoor coalition deal with the Democratic Unionist Party in another break with the precedents set by his incompetent predecessor, Theresa May. The assumption by some observers that the Brexit Party would attract enough disaffected Tory-supporting Leave voters to stymie BoJo’s chances of staying in office, under his own steam anyway, seems to have faded away as Nigel Farage’s lobby group falls into confused infighting between soft and hard Brexiteers, the latest iteration of the proposed Withdrawal Agreement between the European Union and the UK undermining some of the BP’s supposed rationale for standing in the election.
This of course also impacts the opposition Labour Party which was hoping to see a split vote among its primary opponents in a number of marginal constituencies, allowing its candidates to sneak through under the dubiously democratic first-pass-the-post system (FPTP), giving Jeremy Corbyn the keys to Number 10. Instead, not only is it faced by a slightly reinvigorated Conservative Party, weaponised with a coherent plan for Britain to exit the EU, but its own support is under threat from the Lib Dems, the Green Party, Plaid Cymru and to a lesser extent, the Faragists. Or at least, what’s left of the nouveau UKIP in a handful of Brexit-favouring constituencies around provincial England and Wales. Meanwhile, north of the border, there is a dearth of hard stats from Scotland due to a lack of comprehensive polling (or any type of polling that goes beyond merely treating the Scots as a statistically meaningless sub-set of the English and Welsh samples). However, despite a very modest Tory revival, the SNP seems likely to not only hold its Westminster seats but to increase them, if the vagaries of FPTP fall their way. And probably at the expense of Labour.
So, the outcome of the British general election 2019? As things stand now, another Conservative administration, though with a better parliamentary majority than the last one, faced by a fractured opposition led by the Labour Party. And no Brexit Party MPs in sight.